Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 3.360116 3.708187 4.085393 4.525952 5.028154 5.584851 6.251496
2025-09-28 2.740912 3.181448 3.690595 4.327354 5.109134 6.046428 7.268569
2025-10-05 2.453345 2.955009 3.563166 4.364382 5.406772 6.737733 8.600103
2025-10-12 2.265232 2.810760 3.498215 4.443741 5.735596 7.477331 10.072147
2025-10-19 2.117928 2.694610 3.445625 4.517672 6.046765 8.211419 11.627430
2025-10-26 1.994220 2.592993 3.395538 4.579538 6.335069 8.934083 13.263323
2025-11-02 1.879825 2.491143 3.331497 4.608214 6.568685 9.592951 14.892463
2025-11-09 1.733539 2.331949 3.171216 4.476617 6.538854 9.829533 15.846029
2025-11-16 1.625040 2.217486 3.064522 4.412348 6.601601 10.214091 17.107952
2025-11-23 1.539979 2.130296 2.989997 4.388443 6.722473 10.703897 18.636683
2025-11-30 1.502056 2.109230 3.011660 4.516078 7.104994 11.691845 21.300973
2025-12-07 1.430897 2.033102 2.942626 4.488759 7.215726 12.198685 23.081010
2025-12-14 1.359086 1.953152 2.864456 4.443451 7.296767 12.673769 24.922742
2025-12-21 1.261736 1.828247 2.707166 4.251446 7.092408 12.570453 25.454023
2025-12-28 1.219884 1.788001 2.683449 4.287966 7.315605 13.348921 28.212652
2026-01-04 1.189338 1.763663 2.683607 4.365619 7.624209 14.346361 31.751553
2026-01-11 1.159901 1.739166 2.681399 4.437919 7.929018 15.380145 35.659470
2026-01-18 1.130333 1.712594 2.673561 4.498409 8.215583 16.416463 39.868863
2026-01-25 1.097247 1.678242 2.649873 4.526446 8.436790 17.335270 44.011311
2026-02-01 1.041064 1.602217 2.548864 4.397776 8.309278 17.398021 45.537340
2026-02-08 0.999023 1.548284 2.484007 4.334928 8.318893 17.800758 48.281538
2026-02-15 0.965660 1.507681 2.440737 4.311551 8.413743 18.434303 52.007851
2026-02-22 0.955865 1.507324 2.470088 4.436361 8.858989 20.059378 59.848303